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Fuxian Yi is a journalist based in Madison, United States of America. Education Aug. 1993 - July1999: Ph.D., Hunan Medical University (XiangYa School of Medicine of Central South University in 2000), China. Sept. 1988 - July 1993: M.D., Hunan Medical University, Changsha, Hunan, China. Positions 1999 –2001 Postdoctoral research associate, University of Minnesota-Twin City, Minneapolis 2002– current Scientist. 2002–2006: Assistant Scientist, 2006–2013: Associate Scientist,2013-current: Senior Scientist, University of Wisconsin-Madison Since 2000, he has applied medicine to demographic and economic research, initiated, and launched a campaign against China’s one-child policy, leading to its repeal in 2016. His estimates and projections of China's population and economy have repeatedly proven to be more accurate than the official ones. For example, in his 2007 book, he predicted that China’s population would decline in 2017 (Chinese officials and the UN projected it to be in 2033-34). Then, in 2019, he concluded that China’s population had already begun to decline in 2018 (one year later than his initial estimate due to the two-child policy in 2016), with a fertility rate of 1.1. However, Chinese officials and the UN predicted that the fertility rate would stabilize at 1.7-1.8, and the population would not begin to decline until 2031-32. Now, China officially acknowledges that its population began to decline in 2022, with a fertility rate of just 1.0. Data from other sources confirm Yi’s conclusion that China’s population did indeed begin to decline in 2018 and is now less than 1.28 billion, rather than the official figure of 1.41 billion. In 2004, he predicted that 2012 would be an inflection point for the Chinese economy, with the northeast leading the decline. He predicted that China's economic center will move south and west, and China's
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Yi Fuxian